Let’s leave it at 100. It is unlikely that they will be over 100 years old.
Medical advances, public health achievements, and improved diets significantly increased life expectancy worldwide from the 1800s to the 1900s. But a surprising new study finds that this momentum is slowing and that the biggest boost to longevity may be in the rearview mirror.
“Most people who are now living into old age are living according to medically created timelines,” said S. Jay, lead author of the study and professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at the University of Illinois at Chicago.・Mr. Olshansky says.
“However, despite the accelerating effectiveness of these medical bandages, life expectancies are decreasing, meaning that the period of rapid increase in life expectancy is now recorded as over. “There are,” Olshansky added.
Study author S. Jay Olshansky said, “Despite the breakneck speed of medical progress, modern medicine is producing fewer and fewer improvements in lifespan.” Olemar – Stock.adobe.com
The analysis, conducted in collaboration with researchers from the University of Hawaii, Harvard University, and UCLA, included data from eight longevity countries (Australia, France, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland), Hong Kong, and Hong Kong from 1990 to 2019. United States until .
Life expectancy at birth among the longest-lived groups has increased by an average of only 6.5 years since 1990, according to a new study. master1305 – Stock.adobe.com
Research shows that life expectancy at birth in these countries has increased by an average of only 6.5 years since 1990.
“Our findings challenge conventional wisdom that our species is only a short time away from enjoying natural longevity, extending beyond our current average lifespan. There are,” Olshansky said. “Rather, it is in our past, somewhere in the range of 30 to 60 years. Even though medical advances are occurring at breakneck speed, modern medicine has only slowly improved lifespan.” But we have proven this.”
Olshansky published a paper in the journal Science in 1990 in which he argued that it is “very unlikely” that life expectancy at birth will exceed 85 years, because the most significant increases in life expectancy have already occurred. The new research results shown above support that theory. Strategic Marketing and Communications / UIC
In the United States, life expectancy in 2022 is 77.5 years, up slightly from 75.4 years in 1990 and down from 78.8 years in 2019.
Although the new study does not include data from the COVID-19 pandemic, Olshansky said COVID-19 has “significantly reduced the increase in life expectancy recorded from 1990 to 2019.” “I would have suppressed it,” he said.
More than 7 million deaths worldwide have been blamed on the virus.
“We did not want to include the impact of COVID-19 in our estimates because it is a temporary effect on survival, which would mean that the rate of change over time would be heavily influenced by a one-time event,” Orr said. Shansky explained to the Post.
Olshansky says the focus should be on slowing aging and extending healthy lifespan, the number of years a person stays healthy rather than just alive. Pixel Shot – Stock.adobe.com
Olshansky published a paper in the journal Science in 1990 in which he argued that it is “very unlikely” that life expectancy at birth will exceed 85 years, because the most significant increases in life expectancy have already occurred.
In a new study published Monday in Nature Aging, Olshansky focused on slowing aging and extending healthy lifespan, the number of years a person can be healthy, not just alive. He says it should be given.
“It’s not a brick wall, it’s a glass ceiling,” Olshansky said. “There is a lot of room for improvement: reducing risk factors, working to eliminate disparities, and encouraging people to adopt healthier lifestyles. All of this will enable people to live longer and healthier lives. Masu.”
Dr. Maria Torrera Carney, Professor of Medicine and Director of Geriatrics and Palliative Care Medicine at Northwell Health, also believes in improving and maximizing health at a cellular and physiological level from a young age. I think we should focus on.
“The function of our organ systems (liver, kidneys, lungs, heart, neurological function) peaks around age 30 and declines over time,” says John, co-author of The Aging Revolution and author of the latest Carney, who was not involved in the study, told The Paper. post. “We are now learning about the cellular and physiological changes that contribute to this decline, including inflammation, injury, and poor diet and lifestyle that can accelerate aging.”
Elizabeth Francis, who turned 115 in July, says “speaking my mind” will help her live longer. ABC News
The oldest living person in the United States is Elizabeth Francis of Houston, who turned 115 in July.
According to a report by the Pew Research Center, the number of Americans who will reach the age of 100 or older will increase from an estimated 101,000 (0.03% of the population) in 2024 to approximately 422,000 (0.1% of the population) by 2054. ) is expected to increase rapidly.
Olshansky said these centenarian cases remain an outlier and do not significantly increase life expectancy.
“It would be optimistic that 15% of women and 5% of men in the human birth cohort could live to age 100 in most countries this century,” his report said.
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how to extend lifespan
Olshansky shared some tips with the Post on how to age better.
Avoid behavioral risk factors that shorten your lifespan, such as smoking, obesity, drugs, a sedentary lifestyle, and poor diet. Listen to your doctor’s advice and take medications to treat your illness. Please consider this. How healthy you are in young and middle age predicts how healthy you are likely to be in old age. Exercise and diet are effective in not only preventing disease but also improving the quality of life for people of all ages. One of the strongest predictors of longevity and healthspan is educational attainment.
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